Karim sent me the following email in relation with my previous post on learning from the Arab Revolutions (I post with his permission)
read your post this morning which brought me back to yesterdays conversation.
When I said it seemed a very bourgeois revolution, it is because it
seemed to me that the aspirations of those that where most visibly
vocal during the last month, and those who seemed to be the ones
framing the demands and desires of the demonstrators, where very much
left liberal - we want to be free to live our cultural identities as
we please - types. My interpretation is that this is still very much
in line with neoliberal - consumption oriented ideals of the world.
Obviously I am simplifying here, but with the type of people that will
have dips to take over power, (that is the peeps that are structurally
favoured to mobilize popular support and to frame an agenda) will
still believe in orthodox economics and a liberal world order. The
google guy Ghonim or so seems to be a good example or my cousins for
that matter, they will make sure that their middle class lives will
not be too disrupted.
This is not necessarily incommensurable with a changing stance on
Israel, it seems that the military is aware of the people's
inclinations, and the the people have shown that they are aware of the
power they have to influence the leadership. So Israel is under
pressure. I imagine another war on Lebanon would be much more
difficult to pull off without endangering destroying very fragile
relations with Egypt.
So while i see the whole situation as very fluid and i would not dare
make predictions, I am not sure how the country would break out of WB
/ IMF / USaid grips so easily, there is still a public debt around 200
billion $ with 30 billion of it being external debnt and the
restructuring of an economy to be done to actually become a sovereign
I don't know, I also don't want to be too pessimistic, I think there
is great opportunity and obviously I understand only half of what's
Point being I'd like to hear what you think about it.
P.S.: the more i hear these international leaders reminding us or
rather egyptians about the neccessity to abide by the peace treaty
with israel, the more I think we should thank them for so obviously
showing what side they are on, it actually couldn't be better. It is
the emperor getting naked and saying to everybody: hey look i am