Not good

"An anticipated slowdown in growth of cereal production in low-income food-deficit countries, coupled with prospects for continued high international prices, could result in a tighter food supply situation for these countries in the coming year, according to FAO's latest Crop Prospects and Food Situation report.

In North Africa, Morocco's cereal crop this year has been devastated by drought and is estimated at just one-quarter of last year's level. In Southern Africa, the outcome of the recent main cereal harvest is mixed -- with sharply drought-reduced crops in Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho and Swaziland, but record or above average harvests in Malawi, Angola, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zambia."

COUNTRIES IN CRISIS REQUIRING EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE (total: 28 countries)

AFRICA (20 countries)
Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies
Lesotho	Multiple year droughts, HIV/AIDS impact
Somalia	Conflict and drought
Swaziland	Multiple year droughts, HIV/AIDS impact
Zimbabwe	Deepening economic crisis, drought
Widespread lack of access
Eritrea	IDPs, returnees, high food prices
Ethiopia	Low incomes, high food prices
Liberia	Post-conflict recovery period, IDPs
Mauritania	Multiple year droughts
Sierra Leone	Post-conflict recovery period, refugees
Severe localized food insecurity
Burundi	Civil strife, IDPs, returnees and recent dry spells
Central African Republic	Civil strife, IDPs
Chad	Refugees, insecurity
Congo, Democratic Republic of	Civil strife, IDPs and refugees
Congo, Republic of	IDPs, refugees
Côte d'Ivoire	Civil strife, IDPs
Guinea	IDPs, refugees, high food prices
Guinea-Bissau	After effects of floods, localized insecurity
Kenya	Drought in parts
Sudan	Civil strife, returnees
Uganda	Civil strife, IDPs
ASIA (7 countries)
Exceptional shortfall in aggregate food production/supplies
Iraq	Conflict and insecurity, IDPs
Widespread lack of access
Afghanistan	Conflict, IDPs and returnees, floods
Korea, Dem. People's Rep. of	Economic constraints
Nepal	Market access and effects of conflict and drought/floods
Severe localized food insecurity
Pakistan	After effects of the Kashmir earthquake, floods
Sri Lanka	After effects of the Tsunami, deepening conflicts and floods
Timor-Leste	IDPs and drought
LATIN AMERICA (1 country)
Severe localized food insecurity
Bolivia	After effects of adverse weather conditions (floods in lowlands; drought, hail and frost in highlands)

COUNTRIES WITH UNFAVOURABLE PROSPECTS FOR CURRENT CROPS ²

AFRICA
Morocco	Lack of rainfall
Somalia	Conflict, drought in parts